Wednesday, December 2, 2015

Pre Week 13

So, once again, Wednesday night and the waivers have all gone through. Hopefully I can sling you a rope and guide you through the fantasy jungle.

At this end of the season you hope to still be within touching distance and if you are, build on it to win the league.

From week 6 or 7 you should be looking to pick players that not only perform but have decent matchups down the home straight to give you the edge in the run up to the playoffs and beyond.


Here's some decent short term options for each position, this week. Asterisk means they are good for most of the remaining weeks.

QB
Hasselbeck
Newton
Bortles
Dalton

Stafford**
Mariota
Cutler!
Fitzpatrick
Smith
Osweiller*
Bridgewater*

RB
CJ Anderson
Jonathan Stewart
Buck Allen
Blount / James white equal value this week though the bold may favour White
Doug Martin

Mcfadden**
Matt Jones *
Sproles / Murray flex/low2*
Riddick / Bell / Abdullah flex but not this week

WR
TY Hilton
Amendola

Bengals Green Jones Sanu
Giants OBJ and Randle**
Bears*
Browns.*

TE
Grab Chandler from New England and play him
Julius Thomas *
Tamme / Davis Broncos

K
Jason Meyers - Jags should give you a high floor of consistency to the end of the season.

DEF
Chiefs
Panthers
Bengals
Cardinals
Texans
Bucs
Bills

All should give you a good chance each week.








Right now, Jason Myers

Fantasy stats

Well I'm sorry I've not posted anything for ages, I decided to develop a stats machine and it's consumed most of my time after the kids a asleep.

Since having kids I've found it far harder to get all the snippets and analyse data properly with so little time on my hands. Add to that trying to do a blog and it adds up to poor results and late blog info.

Obviously I want to sort out my own team first and then if time disseminate the info publicly.

It's nice to be advised to pick up Jeremy Langford, but if I tell you after the waivers have been processed, chances are some cheeky monkey beat you to it.

So back to the stats machine. I used to look at my team, the match ups, look at everything else going on in the league using fantasy points against and a picture would become clear of who to play and who to pick up. Trouble is, when all that was done, it's now time for bed and put my waivers in tired, or sleep on it and risk missing the window! Then oh yeah, Weds night I'd better put something up here!

It took me 12 weeks but I finally put something together that gathers the lot for me. And it takes about half an hour. Joy!

I can't say much more because I'd probably have to kill you, but it's so good I'm considering selling it as a weekly subscription. All you need to do is apply some common sense, sprinkled in with some golden nuggets of info, and hey presto, your lineup is set.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

Fantasy Stats

For a while now, probably 2 seasons, it's been the case that nfl.com gives more and more information on who's a sleeper, who to sit, who to start etc. This together with mobile apps and NFL Now, means fantasy team managers are up against the most well informed competitors yet.

Anyone with a smartphone can bone up in 10 minutes and be armed with knowledge that will give them the edge over everyone else.

How do you keep a step ahead in times like this?

Hard work delving behind those stats. Stats that the bods at nfl.com don't readily give out, and would take the average Joe all week to analyse.... Or get someone to do it for you...

Here I hope to give those extra nuggets that don't come easily. As the season rumbles on, the quality of info should in theory get better.

You're looking to use these stats for picking up players with easier schedules and choosing who may have a better week, who's bad away from home, and who has a higher chance of success.

We now only have 2 weeks to work with but there should still be some value in there... It just needs to be mined and lovingly polished into game winning gems!

Wednesday, September 16, 2015

2015 Season is upon us...

Well, it's been a long offseason, with plenty to talk about and developments to keep an eye on. From deflate-gate to eyebrow raising trades, it's been colourful to say the least.

Having jumped straight in after draft and week one, I'm putting my thoughts down again for another season and hopefully enjoying the ups and (1st) downs.

It you negotiated your draft with the trusty old faithfuls from last season, you're probably wondering how the hell you didn't win week 1.

There's lots of information out there on who is hot and who is not, but nothing beats the eyeball test, coupled with some stat analysis.

Carlos Hyde was obviously top target to add on waivers this week, but here are some other names:

Ameer Abdullah
Chris Ivory
Deandre Hopkins

These are my top 4, as they have great potential to be your starters week in, week out.

My flex starter picks are:

James Jones
Keenan Allen
Mike Ingram if CJ Spiller still out

Solid QBs for Wk 2 and matchup based for the rest of the season:

Alex Smith
Carson Palmer
Sam Bradford

Jason Witten
Tyler Eiffert
Owen Daniels
Eric Ebron

Def wk2
Miami     - J Landry on punt returns could produce something special here
Tennessee
Detroit    - A. Abdullah on special teams makes this a tempting choice, my gut says.... touchdown!
Ravens
Rams
Panthers
Possibly Saints

Don't expect a huge surge in Terrence Williams' points just because Dez is crocked. The cowboys earlier today traded for Brice Butler from the Raiders, and he has a ton of potential. Lance Dunbar for me has the best chance of a surge in his statline.